
MPI
more accurate than a fine watch
because it includes
mental factors in the scoring


6 Years of Forecasting Team Performance and Beating the Official Super Bowl Spread (2003-2008)
Super Bowl
Date Final Score
Spread MPI Forecast
MPI Accuracy in Estimating Performance
MPI Against Spread
XLII
2/3/08 NY 17, NE 14
NE by 12 NE by at least 2 tds
Missed for the first time (record 5-1)
4-2
| XLI | 2/4/07 |
Indy 29, Chi. 17 Indy by 7 Indy by 2-3 TDs Perfect, PB Daily News, Peoria Journal Star 4-1 |
| XL | 2/5/06 | Pitt. 21, Sea. 10 Pitt. by 4 Sea. by 5-10 Correct, Seattle performed better, all Pitt. pts. on 3 huge plays 3-1 |
| XXXIX | 2/6/05 | NE 24, Philly 21 NE by 7 Very Close Correct, 1st SB game tied entering 4th qtr. - Washington Post 3-0 |
| XXXVIII | 2/1/04 | NE 32, Carolina 29 NE by 7 Very Close Correct, went down to last 3 seconds - Washington Post 2-0 |
| XXXVII | 1/26/03 | TB 48, Oak. 21 Oak. by 4 TB "blowout" win Perfect, upset forseen by MPI - Arizona Republic 1-0 |