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John Murray, Ph. D.

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Smart Pro News Issue 10


Mental Performance Index
As highlighted in ESPN The Magazine (Dec. 2002), the Arizona Republic, and the Sun Sentinel and endorsed by many including Super Bowl Champion Ron Sellers, used by 12 Teams in 2004!

The MPI has been deadly accurate each of the Past Two Super Bowls, and both predictions were contrary to public opinion, showing the extreme value of including the mental game in any review of actual performance!

Call: 561-596-9898 

Click here for a sample of an MPI Report for a football team

Click here for AUDIO on MPI, A Great Advantage to team & to rate upcoming opponents!

All the MPI Stats from the 2003-2004 Playoffs and Super Bowl Below!

MPI accurately forecasts an "extremely close game," but New England breaks a 29-29 tie with 8 seconds left! See all the MPI Playoff and Super Bowl stats  to find out how the teams actually performed on every play.

Quit Smoking at Cigarette.com!icon Click here to listen to the 2004 MPI Super Bowl interview prediction on Bloomberg Radio! (Takes approx. 120 seconds on a high speed modem)
icon Click here to listen to Dr. Murray's 2003 interview on Bloomberg Radio before last year's Super Bowl. Takes approx. 90 seconds on a high speed modem)

                                 See the Post-Super Bowl Release


Hi! Dr. John Murray here. Congrats for finding just one of the many tools I use to help football teams. While the MPI received national publicity last year,  accurately forecasting Tampa Bay's upset blowout in the Super Bowl, the real benefit of hiring a mental coach/sport psychologist is to gain valuable insight into the team and player's mental skill level. Mental training is the area most often neglected in sports because there are only a handful of authentic sport psychologists. Since every player is unique, by understanding the player's mental makeup, and then providing specific training, the player improves, the team improves, and winning is easier!

Below are the Final Scores and the MPI Scores for all games in the 2003-2004 Playoffs & Super Bowl - innovative and insightful!
 
 
AFC NFL NFC
Wild Card Div.
Playoff
Champ. Super Bowl Champ. Div.
Playoff
Wild Card
1/4 1/11 1/18 2/1 1/18 1/10 1/3



 



 

 
 
 




1/3 1/10     1/11 1/4





 

 

 



 


 

Final Scores with MPI total scores in parentheses followed by "p" the pressure index score

Note:
  MPI scores represent actual performance and measure "focused execution" and "pressure management" on every single play of a game. Index scores range from .000 to 1.000 and represent percentage of perfection in execution similar to a baseball batting average, but for the team.  The pressure index (newly developed this year) shows how well the team performed in critical pressure moments of the game 

AFC Wildcard Games
Colts  41 (.553, p=.597) Broncos  10 (.450, p=.431)

Titans  20 (.538, p=.620)  Ravens  17 (.504, p= .477)

NFC Wildcard Games
Panthers  29  (.555, p=.620)  Cowboys  10 (.470, p= .450)

Packers  33  (.508, p=.438)  Seahawks  27 (.481, p= .545)

AFC Divisional Playoffs
Patriots  17 (.489, p=.464)    Titans  14 (.472, p=.458)

Colts  38  (.511, p= .597)   Chiefs  31  (.453, p= .383)

NFC Divisional Playoffs
Panthers  29 (.481, p= .563)   Rams  23 (.508, p=.447)

Eagles  20  (.556, p= .468)  Packers  17 (.495, p= .549)

AFC Championship Game
Patriots   24  (.548, p=.500)    Colts  14  (.487, p= .508)

NFC Championship Game
Panthers   14  (.530, p= .500)  Eagles  3 (.479, p = .615)

Super Bowl
Patriots 32  (.508, p= .553) Panthers 29  (.458, p= .438)

New England                                      Carolina
Total = .508
                                                       Total = .458
Offense = .563                                 Offense = .534
Defense = .444                                 Defense = .414
Special Teams = .452 
                                 Special Teams = .458 


Last Year's Summary - Super Bowl MPI Scores

MPI scores from the 2003 Super Bowl are below.


Oakland
                                          Tampa Bay
Total = .423
                                                         Total = .563
Offense = .389                                   Offense = .500
Defense = .430                                   Defense = .607
Special Teams = .481 
                                    Special Teams = .644 


A precise analysis of the Raiders and Bucs scores on the MPI in the playoffs before the Super Bowl assisted Dr. Murray in saying that the Bucs would likely win by a huge margin. 

What is the MPI?

The Murray Performance Index™ (MPI™) is just one tool that sport psychologist Dr. John F Murray uses to quantify observed team mental performance in a football game. It is like an index of perfection, and the percentage scores indicate how close a team came to a flawless performance in a game.

How is the MPI useful?

The MPI provides a football team an accurate rating of how they "performed" in every phase of a game (offense, defense, special teams and overall) independent of the final score, which often does not reflect actual performance and can often be very misleading - causing players to either become overconfident or unjustifiably negative after a game.  It's just one of many ways to get players and coaches to thinking of excellence in focus, execution and pressure management.  

Why is it needed?

Players and coaches often minimize the extreme importance of mental skills in football. The MPI quantifies this important factor. Winning is the obvious goal of every game, but athletes often dwell only on outcome. This often lead to inappropriate focus and lower than optimal performance. Teams become overly excited or discouraged after a game. The MPI shows them exactly how well they performed and where they need to improve!

The MPI is based on sport psychology principles, and provides the coaches and team a huge mental advantage over the upcoming opponent. Dr. Murray's brief interpretive summary after each game further explains how the team performed, what the numbers mean, and what steps are needed to improve mentally in their next game. 

 How do the numbers relate?

      Scores are like a batting average in baseball, ranging from .000 to 1.000. .500 is average.  Teams set goals to reach a certain score. Dr. Murray predicts that if a team scores 70 or more on the total score, they will win the game 99% of the time. Scoring is based on set rules with some minor interpretive flexibility based on Dr. Murray's professional judgment and experience. 

How will the Murray Performance Index help my football team? 

       The MPI is just one tool, but it clearly shows how your team actually performed. By using the MPI, Dr. Murray can quantify your team's pressure management skills and focus ability in crucial moments of a game. This is a useful springboard to illustrate how to improve these skills through individual and group work. 

 Please contact Dr. Murray by email at johnfmurray@mindspring.com  or by telephone in the United States at: (561) 596-9898 or (561) 805-8662 (fax).

Murray Performance Index™ (MPI™) Copyright 2003-2004 by Dr. John F. Murray, All Rights Reserved


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