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http://www.JohnFMurray.com
You don't have to be a ROCKET SCIENTIST
to understand the MPI,
but rocket scientists understand the MPI's accuracy!
"John, Congrats
on MPI beating the spread again!"
Cliff Kurtzman - Former Rocket Scientist, Tennis Server Publisher, and Founder of Adastro Corporation
The MPI is a serious
performance rating system to help football coaches and teams
The MPI showed that the Eagles looked stronger in a very close game, but that the
Patriots were much stronger in pure pressure, and that the Eagles needed to play
relatively even with the Patriots in terms of mistakes and turnovers to win. My
"pick" was indeed wrong, but it's never about picks, especially in a
very close game! That's the fun angle everyone loves.
The power is in the MPI data reported before the game on national radio and television.
And if you study the data you realize that the MPI was again amazingly
accurate! It beat the spread for the third straight year and showed its
remarkable accuracy in rating performance. It has estimated the course of each of the past
3 Super Bowls, going against the spread and public opinion EACH TIME and it has
always won! While the creator of the index might have to flip a coin when
the numbers look so close, the fact is that the numbers were accurate once
again! This is exciting and I am thrilled to share it with you!
THREE YEARS OF SUPER BOWL PROOF
MPI Still Perfect in Estimating Performance of Teams Before Each of the Past 3
Super Bowls. Pre-Game Forecasts in National Media Described Teams as "About
Equal" the Past Two Years, and Called Tampa Bay "Much Stronger than Oakland" in
2003. All Directly Contrary to Convention Wisdom and
the Spread. Illustrates the Need to Take Mental Skills in Sports More
Seriously.
Jacksonville, FL. February 7. 3 for 3 success
is hard to argue with! The MPI worked extremely well again in Super Bowl XXXIX,
forecasting an extremely close game. Although Dr. Murray wrongly picked the
Eagles to win (the Patriots won by 3), his MPI has beaten conventional wisdom
and the spread in each of the three Super Bowl games in which it has been
used. "Every broadcaster and writer wants a pick, so and I am happy to join in
on the fun if I am not working with one of the two teams, but I always make it
clear that the MPI is serious, and that picking the winner has never been the
purpose of the MPI," said Dr. Murray. Dr. Murray discussed sport psychology and
the MPI on radio and television stations prior to the Super Bowl and how
coaches benefit from knowing more precisely how their teams, and their
opponents, are performing prior to a game - including for mental factors.
MPI numbers correctly forecasted a "Tampa Bay blowout" win in 2003 against the
public consensus that Oakland was a much better team (and huge favorite). MPI
data forecasted "extremely close" games before each of the past two Super Bowls
even though New England was favored by at least 7 points in each game. The game
went down to the final 4 seconds last year, ending in a 3 point Patriots
victory. This was the first time in Super Bowl history that the game was tied
entering the fourth quarter. It ended in another 3 point New England win.
Conclusion: The MPI is
now a perfect 3 for 3 in estimating how the performance of the teams will play
out in each of the past three Super Bowls, even if
getting the correct pick is a more daunting challenge in an extremely close game
where one play can make the difference. "This MPI showed that the teams were
about equal the past two years, and that Oakland was much weaker than Tampa Bay
in 2003. This just further demonstrates the importance of including mental
factors in sports in any consideration of athletic performance. 3 for 3 is hard
to argue with! This makes sense because sports are never purely about the
physical. Far from it. Many athletes say that mental factors account for
anywhere from 50-99% of performance across many sports including football!"
John F. Murray, PhD
Sport Performance Psychologist
UPDATE YOUR BOOKMARK WITH
THIS NEW WEBSITE AT THE URL:
http://www.JohnFMurray.com